Prediction Market News
An evidence feed for a contract: filings, quotes, and official statements, not odds recaps.
Prediction market news is the evidence feed: filings, quotes, and official statements that move odds.
A lot of coverage that uses that phrase is just someone restating a price. "Yes is now 61" is not news. News is the docket, the spokesperson, the statistical revision, the confirmed result. The odds moved because that landed. If your inbox is full of people announcing the move, you are still late.
AyeWatch is the evidence layer for a question you type. It watches pages and news topics. It is not a trading bot. It does not make odds. It does not tell you the "true" probability.
What belongs in the feed
Primary documents. Court filings. Agency tables. Named quotes from people who can change the outcome. Confirmed results. Polls only if you asked for a named outlet. What does not belong is a thread whose only payload is "the market moved." That is a mirror, not a source.
The prediction market template attaches a contract URL to that filter. AyeWatch for prediction markets is the product page if you are choosing between watching news and watching the page. Do both. The page catches rule changes. The topic catches the world outside the page.
How to build one
One sentence for the market. One sentence for the sources that can settle it. "Alert me on official statements, filings, and primary data that could change whether X happens by DATE. Ignore market recaps." Paste the event URL so criteria edits show up too.
One topic per contract. Five races in one watch is how you mute the whole stack. Give the election, the rate decision, the series, and the model drop separate lines.
Free Preview is six lifetime runs across three topics. Pro is $9/month. Use faster checks on the hour a statement drops. A year-end market can live on a slower cadence.
Start a monitor in under a minute
Free Preview is six lifetime runs across three topics. No card.
Try AyeWatch freeNews is not a trade ticket
A ping that a filing appeared is a reason to read the filing. It is not a reason to slam size. AyeWatch may say the evidence looks like it helps or hurts the outcome you named. That is a read on the document, not advice, not a fair-value print.
Crypto questions need listing posts and rule text in the same stack. Keep Coinbase and Binance listing alerts and crypto regulation news alerts beside the market watch. The prediction market monitoring guide and AI monitoring for investors cover the same job on desks that do not live on Polymarket all day.
Tighten until the ping is a source
Start with the one contract whose tab you guard. If the first alert is a document, keep going. If it is a vibe piece about the odds, the rule was entertainment. Rewrite it until only evidence can fire.