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Polymarket Alerts

Paste the event. Get pinged when a filing, quote, or official statement could move the odds.

By AyeWatch Team··4 min read
Geometric yes and no panels on warm paper with a terracotta bar

Polymarket alerts ping you when new evidence could move the market you named.

Most people treat the last implied probability as if it were a source. It is a score. The source is an 8-K, a county canvas, a press-pool quote, a table from an agency. If your only ritual is staring at the event page, you learn why the number moved after it moved.

AyeWatch watches the market page you paste and the news topics you write. It is not a trading bot. It does not make odds. It does not buy Yes or No for you.

The price is not the news

A useful ping is a document that could reprice the question. A filing. A named official on the record. A primary dataset. A thread that only says "odds jumped" is late by construction. You already had the jump. You needed the reason.

The prediction market template binds a Polymarket URL to that filter. Paste the event, never the homepage. Write the question the way the market settles, including a date if the rules have one. Then say which kinds of evidence count.

AyeWatch for prediction markets is the product page. The longer prediction market monitoring guide is the research version of the same setup.

How to name the watch

Write a brief, not a keyword soup. "Watch this Polymarket event. Alert me on filings, official statements, and primary data that could change the outcome. Ignore recaps and price chatter." If settlement points at a known URL, watch that page too.

Use push around a hearing or a scheduled print. Use email on a slow year-end market. Free Preview is six lifetime runs across three topics. Pro is $9/month.

Start a monitor in under a minute

Free Preview is six lifetime runs across three topics. No card.

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What AyeWatch will not do

It will not post on Polymarket. It will not invent a fair value. It will not read a private order book. You get a short note that a page or a news item looks relevant to the question you named. You still open the source.

ETF and enforcement markets often move on rule text, not on a tweet. Add crypto regulation news alerts when the question is an SEC or CFTC outcome. AI monitoring for investors covers filings that never mention Polymarket and still move the same names.

Start with one event

Pick the market whose tab you already refuse to close. If the first ping is a document you would have wanted, leave the watch on. If it is a recap, tighten the rule and try again.

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