Manifold Alerts
Watch the URLs a Manifold market actually resolves on. Mute the comment pile.
Manifold alerts watch a market's resolution sources, not every comment on the thread.
Every Manifold market ships with a resolution rule. That rule names a site, a dataset, a ranking, or a kind of reporting. The comment pile is extra. It is also how you miss the GitHub tag, the wiki diff, the league posting, the paper that actually settles the bet. You came for the source. You stayed for the argument.
AyeWatch watches the pages and topics you name. It is not a Manifold bot. It does not trade mana. It does not make odds. It does not sit in comments and reply for you.
The rule is the spec
Open the market. Copy how it resolves. That sentence is the alert. If it resolves on a named URL, watch that URL. If it resolves on "credible reporting," list the outlets that count for you. If it resolves on a leaderboard, paste the leaderboard. Then say the rest is noise. "Ping me when a primary source or the resolution page could settle or reprice this market. Ignore comments and meta."
The prediction market template still fits. Paste the Manifold link. Type the question in the market's words. AyeWatch for prediction markets treats this as the same job as Polymarket or Kalshi: evidence in, chatter out.
Play money, real sources
Mana does not make the underlying fact fake. A model-release race on Manifold still turns on lab blogs and eval tables. A sports market still turns on the league site. Watch those pages. Do not ask AyeWatch to summarize every dunk in the thread.
Push if you need the source in minutes. Email is enough for a research market that resolves next quarter. Free Preview is six lifetime runs across three topics. Pro is $9/month.
Start a monitor in under a minute
Free Preview is six lifetime runs across three topics. No card.
Try AyeWatch freeWhat you will not get
You will not get a digest of the comments. That is the feature. You will not get AyeWatch resolving the market. Creators still resolve. You get the evidence the criteria pointed at, arriving before you notice the thread exploded.
If you also hold a real-money contract on the same question, run the same topic against that venue. Listing-shaped questions still want Coinbase listing coverage on the exchange blogs. The prediction market monitoring post is the research writeup. AI monitoring for investors is the filings habit with the same shape.
Mute the tab
Pick the Manifold market whose comments already steal your time. Point AyeWatch at the resolution source. If the first ping is that source, close the thread.